張建平當(dāng)前中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)形勢(shì)1

1、當(dāng)前中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)形勢(shì)分析China’s Current Macro-Economic Situation張建平 研究員 博導(dǎo)國(guó)家發(fā)展和改革委員會(huì)對(duì)外經(jīng)濟(jì)研究所國(guó)際合作室主任Prof. ZHANG Jianping Director, Department of International Cooperation Institute for International Economic Research, National

2、 Development and Reform Commission2016年6月17日,當(dāng)前中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)形勢(shì) China’s Current Economy Situation,新常態(tài)下的重重考驗(yàn)： 人民幣貶值 主權(quán)信用評(píng)級(jí)轉(zhuǎn)為負(fù)面 實(shí)體經(jīng)濟(jì)/銀行業(yè)發(fā)展放緩 產(chǎn)能過剩、資產(chǎn)泡沫等Challenges in the new Normal:RMB devaluationSovereign credit ra

3、ting: “Negative”Lower growth of real economy and banking industryexcess production capacity & asset bubble,對(duì)2016年亞洲主要貨幣兌美元名義匯率走勢(shì)的判斷（%）Exchange Rate: Asian Currency vs USD (%),對(duì)不同國(guó)家地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的判斷（%）Growth Prospect by C

4、ountries (%),IMF對(duì)國(guó)際大宗商品指數(shù)的預(yù)測(cè),資料來(lái)源：CEIC及IMF貿(mào)易與經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)庫(kù),當(dāng)前國(guó)內(nèi)經(jīng)濟(jì)形勢(shì) China’s Current Economy Situation,數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源：國(guó)家統(tǒng)計(jì)局,主要宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)指標(biāo)GDP, PMI, CPI&PPI, Inflation Rate,China World,主要宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)指標(biāo)GDP, PMI, CPI&PPI, Inflation Rate,

5、中國(guó)GDP增長(zhǎng)率與通貨膨脹率 Growth and Inflation of China (Estimated),數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源：世界銀行,主要宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)指標(biāo)GDP, PMI, CPI&PPI, Inflation Rate,主要宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)指標(biāo)GDP, PMI, CPI&PPI, Inflation Rate,數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源：世界銀行,經(jīng)常賬戶盈余情況 Current Account Balance and Reserves,主